The Polls

what Ted Cruz said could be true...."We are carrying out military strikes today, against Iran" because, without the involvement of U.S. bases in the region, it is difficult for Israel to control the Iranian airspace....Israel reported that its air force controls the airspace above Tehran
That is not due to US airbases. Israel is able to operate mostly on its own. USA may be sharing satellite intelligence but that doesn’t need a base.

US airbases are helping shoot down some of the missiles launched from Iran towards Israel.

USA so far doesn’t want to give Iran an excuse that it is helping Israel in its offensive. USA bases aiding Israel offensive operations will give Iran a reason to target them.

The Trump base is really divided over whether the USA should enter military into the conflict. It is hard to read given how isolationist the base is. But the base tends to give Trump a pass on a lot of things they didn’t expect him to do. Trump has always been hawkish about Iran. This is truly a fifty fifty and unpredictable on what he chooses to do. I won’t be surprised either way what he chooses.
 
That is not due to US airbases. Israel is able to operate mostly on its own. USA may be sharing satellite intelligence but that doesn’t need a base.

US airbases are helping shoot down some of the missiles launched from Iran towards Israel.

USA so far doesn’t want to give Iran an excuse that it is helping Israel in its offensive. USA bases aiding Israel offensive operations will give Iran a reason to target them.

The Trump base is really divided over whether the USA should enter military into the conflict. It is hard to read given how isolationist the base is. But the base tends to give Trump a pass on a lot of things they didn’t expect him to do. Trump has always been hawkish about Iran. This is truly a fifty fifty and unpredictable on what he chooses to do. I won’t be surprised either way what he chooses.

The "base" is primarily made up of Low-Info, Low IQ, Cult of Personality type voters. After 1000 pretzel moves they will buy whatever he sells them.
 
Having control of the airspace

as Netanyahu said, "the Israeli Air Force controls the airspace above Tehran....controlling the airspace was one of the main objectives of the Operation Rising Lion, F-35s operated in stealth mode were used in a surprise attack against airfields, radar sites, etc....now Israel can attack Iran with impunity
 
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That is not due to US airbases. Israel is able to operate mostly on its own. USA may be sharing satellite intelligence but that doesn’t need a base.

US airbases are helping shoot down some of the missiles launched from Iran towards Israel.

USA so far doesn’t want to give Iran an excuse that it is helping Israel in its offensive. USA bases aiding Israel offensive operations will give Iran a reason to target them.

without a doubt, Israel has one of the best equiped and trained military in the world, and that includes the Israeli Air Force which can strike any where in the world at anytime....Israel's Operation Rising Lion initial strikes involved over 200 aircraft, and the operation is expected to last for several days at least, according to Ted Cruz the U.S. is carrying military strikes against Iran today, but there is no evidence that the aircrafts are using the closer to Iran U.S. bases in the region....as you said, US airbases are helping shoot down some of the missiles launched from Iran towards Israel, and without a doubt, the Israeli Air Force can strike Iran from over 1,000 miles away several times each day, through hostile territory
 
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In the late eighties and early nineties trump was flippant with commenting that we should just ho to war with them. It's gonna happen. He has always wanted it. I think I'll stop laying my credit xard cuz we all done.
 
The "base" is primarily made up of Low-Info, Low IQ, Cult of Personality type voters. After 1000 pretzel moves they will buy whatever he sells them.
You would be surprise at the support for Trump along the elites. He has gained support among both Latino men and black men. The country is split right down the middle with all republicans and section of independents supporting Trump. Democrats overwhelmingly live is big states and big metros. Combined that with the way house districts are set up, 2 seats per state got senate and electoral college, Republicans playing hardball (which Democrats don’t), despite being a minority party (by popular vote usually, working against popular opinion, and less registered voters) they are able to dominate the democrats.

Democrats also have to be blamed. They espouse rights for so many niche minority groups that everyone else feels Democrats don’t care of overwhelming majority. That is called minority politics. Democrats always have a big messaging problem. They come up with stupid slogans like “defund police” and “no kings” just to mention a few. They let Republicans. Obama deported far more immigrants than Trump has ever managed, yet Democrats never high light that. The list is endless.
 
It feels like a deja vu from 2003 to me. Now suddenly all politicians are nuclear physicists again. Lots of US senators same as german ministers are popping up saying Iran is very close to having a mass destruction weapon. Where do they get this information from? Not from their national intelligence services who confirm the opposite. But doesn't matter, we all know that intelligence services often were wrong (or appeared so). Luckily the senator physicists know so much better.

 
You would be surprise at the support for Trump along the elites. He has gained support among both Latino men and black men. The country is split right down the middle with all republicans and section of independents supporting Trump. Democrats overwhelmingly live is big states and big metros. Combined that with the way house districts are set up, 2 seats per state got senate and electoral college, Republicans playing hardball (which Democrats don’t), despite being a minority party (by popular vote usually, working against popular opinion, and less registered voters) they are able to dominate the democrats.

Democrats also have to be blamed. They espouse rights for so many niche minority groups that everyone else feels Democrats don’t care of overwhelming majority. That is called minority politics. Democrats always have a big messaging problem. They come up with stupid slogans like “defund police” and “no kings” just to mention a few. They let Republicans. Obama deported far more immigrants than Trump has ever managed, yet Democrats never high light that. The list is endless.

You're not wrong, but the base is still white construction workers in Alabama driving F-150's. Also "old money" has always been Repub. Now new tech-bro money is too.

But I'll throw you a bone...apologies if I've posted this before but it's such a classic:


Bunch of back steppers I bet. Notice how hard they're trying to make this 'Merican salsa.

Also yes, Dems have been on an Identity Politics sugar high for the past 15+ years. Now they're paying the price. No Kings was good though, I was there along with millions of others. When the official White House Xitter page posts garbage like this then you will get a No Kings protest.

 
It feels like a deja vu from 2003 to me. Now suddenly all politicians are nuclear physicists again. Lots of US senators same as german ministers are popping up saying Iran is very close to having a mass destruction weapon. Where do they get this information from? Not from their national intelligence services who confirm the opposite. But doesn't matter, we all know that intelligence services often were wrong (or appeared so). Luckily the senator physicists know so much better.


The same people that have been saying for the last 40 years that the Dems are a-comin' tuh take our guns.
 
You're not wrong, but the base is still white construction workers in Alabama driving F-150's. Also "old money" has always been Repub. Now new tech-bro money is too.

But I'll throw you a bone...apologies if I've posted this before but it's such a classic:


Bunch of back steppers I bet. Notice how hard they're trying to make this 'Merican salsa.

Also yes, Dems have been on an Identity Politics sugar high for the past 15+ years. Now they're paying the price. No Kings was good though, I was there along with millions of others. When the official White House Xitter page posts garbage like this then you will get a No Kings protest.

Yes I had meant identity politics. There was a typo in my post. Trump practices and grievances of majorities.

There are things that Trump does that at least half the Republican voters don’t agree with.

Democrats need to get their house in order.

- Bernie wing won’t win over majority of Americans nor majority of democrats.
- too much dependence on trade unions. The trade unions are becoming less pro-Democrats
- not enough outreach to young voters (below 30). At the start Harris campaign started making headway and then got lost.
- talk more about common sense issues. Stop highlighting issues like transgender participation in women sports.
- economic issues. Taxing the wealthy is such a beaten dead horse. Frankly the wealthy are already taxed enough. California is 4th largest economy by GDP in the world with 40 million people. Both Germany and Japan (3rd and 4th largest) have far more population than California. Yet they are able to offer better services. They also have to spend on defense which California doesn’t directly.
- if someone creates wealth from scratch the Democrats make it appear like that’s a sin.
- democrats definitely don’t know how to talk about immigration.

A simple example. The current big beautiful bill is proposing cuts to Medicaid (healthcare). In response one of Republican senators said “we are all going to die” as while defending the bill. I remember when The Obama was president trying to pass the Obamacare. Which instead of being modeled on what democrats position, it was modeled on Heritage foundation (right wing think tank) recommendations and Romney’s model in MA. Yet Republicans went screaming “death panels” in town halls around the country. It was bill about expanding health care access and had things that were very popular (like pre-condition support). And Democrats couldn’t message it. Instead we got tea party.

Democrats can’t generate outrage on popular things. Instead they try to generate outrage on things that most people can’t relate to as strongly (via identity politics).
 
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Based on what I sense people are paying attention to in the US right now:
The cost of things that are affected by tariffs (or proposed tariffs).
Some tariffs are already in place.
Imported car parts have increased 2x-3x due to tariffs and shortages.
People are buying fewer new cars - so - they need more car parts for old cars.

Housing. Housing starts are at the lowest point since the pandemic. This has a ripple effect through the economy. Less building materials, which are affected by tariffs. Less appliances, which are affected by tariffs. Less contractor employment - plus contractors have fewer employees to send out to jobs due to immigration enforcement - so - the price of home repair/ construction has skyrocketed. 2x-3x is not unusual. With less new housing on the market, existing housing prices will be stable or even continue to increase due to low supply. An exception is south Florida which was an overheated market and is trending back to being a normal market.

Food and energy have not increased much and may actually decrease. Ag producers may not be able to export as much of their goods as they would like to, so they have to dump it at lower prices in the US. Energy prices are always volatile and it is uncertain if demand will persist.

Meanwhile, the stock market does not care about anything and is trending towards new highs.

People are not paying much attention to wars elsewhere.
 
Also yes, Dems have been on an Identity Politics sugar high for the past 15+ years. Now they're paying the price. No Kings was good though, I was there along with millions of others. When the official White House Xitter page posts garbage like this then you will get a No Kings protest.

Please understand that "The Patriot" is the ultimate identity politic. And it's so built into the American landscape that no one ever points to that being the most toxic form of identity politics. Whatever it is the people want to suggest Dems do has nothing on that!
 
The US has decapitated a dead man. Sure it was very exciting for the military to use the most high tech weapons in real.

Most Iran experts say the mullahs want to make survive their regime at all means. So probably not so much will happen, that would be their best way to stay in power.

But survival is best when you have nuclear weapons, so they will continue trying to get them and Israel will bomb them every few years.

When Israel was founded in 1947 the dream was to give them a safe place. This promise never came true. Living in Israel is more dangerous for Israelis than living in most other places, and I don't see this change ever.
 
United States B-2s attacked Iran....Trump addresses the nation after the strikes on nuclear facilities

J.D. Vance doesn't look happy at all during Trump's announcement. He's intelligent enough to know this can end badly. Hegseth doesn't have this problem.
 
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